Multi-currency BGM Pricing Model
The Brace-Gatarek-Musiela (BGM) model is a multi-factor log-normal model. This model applies to both currencies.
Multi-currency BGM Pricing Model
Discount factors are computed from the rates as follows:
Again, a discretized version of this formula is used in practice (see sect. II).
The arbitrage theory states that:
The Bayesian rule implies:
In terms of volatility surface, the Vvol introduces a positive smile, the correlation induces a skew and the mean reversion makes the smile decrease with maturity. The expected spot volatility drives the term structure.
There is one theoretical subtlety about multi-currency models. Risk-neutral probabilities differ in both currencies, because numeraires are different. In the domestic risk-neutral probability, the expectation of the daily discounted value of a unit of domestic currency is equal to the domestic discount factor:
The same applies to a unit of foreign currency, and this yields:
By the Bayesian rule, we get:
In the foreign risk-neutral expectation, one would have:
The price of an option is also the risk-neutral expectation of its discounted pay-off. Consequently, if the pay-off is set in domestic currency, the price of the option in domestic currency is:
However, if it is set in foreign currency, then the price of the option in domestic currency is:
and, in foreign currency:
In the forward risk-neutral probability, one would have:
A discretized version of these formulas will be used in the next section to compute option prices and sensitivities.
Last updated